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Thursday May 30 2002

Scepticism clouds choice of leaders

Borzou Daragahi in Kabul

In the centre courtyard of a Soviet-built apartment complex, a crowd of nearly 400 men help decide the future of their nation. They are voting on candidates for the loya jirga, the Afghan grand assembly that will chart the strife-ridden country's direction.

But the Friday afternoon gathering is a poorly organised event. The participants heard about it only by word of mouth. And when it comes time to vote, the candidates are chosen by popular acclaim rather than secret ballot. There is not even a show of hands.

Despite official enthusiasm, Afghans across the political and ethnic spectrum have been complaining that the loya jirga is a shoddy process meant to give the stamp of approval to the United States-backed regime of Hamid Karzai rather than offer a political voice to the people.

'I was hopeful before,' said Fahim Dashty, editor-in-chief of Kabul Weekly. 'Now, it seems that the whole thing has been prearranged.' Loya jirga - Pashtun for 'grand assembly' - is a 300-year-old Afghan political meeting meant to create and confer legitimacy upon a new government for Afghanistan, a country divided by severe ethnic and geographic rifts.

The last such meeting was convened by the mujahedeen following the collapse of the Soviet-backed government of Mohammad Najibullah. That meeting ultimately led to intense civil war among the various mujahedeen factions and to what is largely considered to be the worst period in Afghanistan's 23 years of war.

This loya jirga - to take place from June 10 to 16 - will follow the US-led destruction of the Taleban regime and amid the presence of mostly Western peacekeepers in and around the capital. The assembly's mandate is to decide upon an 18-month temporary government: a president, an organisational structure, key ministers and a 111-member parliament. After the 18 months are up, new elections for a permanent government will be held.

But no one in Afghanistan - from restaurant employees to top government officials or even loya jirga officials - seems quite clear how exactly the process is supposed to work. And in the absence of solid information, many ordinary people - in Kabul, the central Afghan city of Bamiyan and the fiercely independent Panjshir Valley - expressed deep scepticism. 'This is nothing but a way for the Americans to keep the Karzai Government in power,' said Hamed, a 27-year-old Kabul resident.

It doesn't help that during the war against the Taleban, American bombs blew up Radio Afghanistan's 500kw transmitters, disabling the station and preventing its use to inform the country about the loya jirga. Broadcasting officials say they will have a satellite hook-up to powerful transmitters in Dubai and Norway up by June 10, in time to report to the world about the loya jirga once it begins, but not in time to inform ordinary Afghans beforehand. In the provinces, well beyond radio broadcasts from Kabul, people have little or no information.

Officials say there has been an attempt to encourage groups such as women to participate in the political process. Of the 1,500 loya jirga slots, 160 are slated for women. 'We have to have more rights,' says Soraya Pelika, a woman member of the loya jirga commission. 'But it's a little too early to be discussing exactly what rights women should have in the future Afghanistan.'

The rights of minority groups may be the most important issue facing Afghanistan today. Though both Mr Karzai and the now-returned King Zaheer Shah are of Pashtun origin, many Pashtuns, who make up 39 per cent of Afghanistan's demographic mix, resent the fact that Panjshiris of Tajik origin dominate both the military and the Government. Meanwhile, Tajiks, who make up a quarter of Afghanistan - along with Hazaras (19 per cent) and Uzbeks (six per cent) - believe they defeated the Pashtun-dominated Taleban fair and square and deserve the spoils of war. The volatile ethnic balancing act is becoming an enormous headache for officials.

'Unfortunately in this country there are always people who are trying to act in their own interests and sabotage the electoral process,' said Abdul Aziz Ahmad, head of the loya jirga commission.

The shakiness of the Government is made all the more dire by the increasing power and influence of the warlords. The Karzai Government has the backing of international forces in and around Kabul. But the provinces are the domain of warlords.

Top officials, who candidly acknowledge the loya jirga's deficiencies and pitfalls, urge patience. One of the first acts of the new government will be to convene a human rights commission to investigate the crimes and abuses that took place during the past 23 years, a UN official said.

'First, we strengthen the position of the central government,' said Atta Mohammad Pouya, a top-level Karzai adviser. 'Then we deal with issues such as the warlords.'


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