From: Subject: Reformist dreams fade in Iran - FEB 28, 2004 Date: Sat, 28 Feb 2004 13:13:47 +0300 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/related; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0000_01C3FDFC.B377E1B0"; type="text/html" X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1165 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0000_01C3FDFC.B377E1B0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="Windows-1252" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://straitstimes.asia1.com.sg/world/story/0,4386,237505,00.html Reformist dreams fade in Iran - FEB 28, = 2004
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FEB 28, 2004 SAT
Archived Issues
3D"3day
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World=20
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Reformist dreams fade in Iran=20

Many people turn away from = politics as=20 reformists lose support and hardliners take control of = government after polls

By BORZOU DARAGAHI
FOR THE STRAITS TIMES=20

TEHERAN - Once the two young men were leaders of = the=20 student movement at the centre of a great, hopeful = drive to=20 change Iran's repressive political and social system = from=20 within.

The leader of = Iran's reformists=20 is President Mohammad=20 Khatami.
Iranian hardliners = are led by=20 Ayatollah Ali=20 = Khamenei.

They worked crowds in demonstrations and campaigned = for=20 reformist politicians who they hoped would change the = Islamic=20 Republic of Iran's repressive political and social = climate.=20

Now, Mr Bahram and Mr Ali - the two young bright = Iranians=20 and former student activists - are in hiding, keeping = to=20 themselves in a tiny apartment at the mountainous = northernmost=20 stretch of the metropolis.

Their book-filled apartment is a sanctuary for both = of them=20 and the homeless children they meet at a shelter at = which they=20 volunteer.

'There's nothing and no one to go out on the = streets and=20 demonstrate for,' said Mr Bahram, a 24-year-old former = student=20 at one of Teheran's universities. He is now = considering=20 heading abroad, like many educated = Iranians.

'To demonstrate, we have to have some goals, some = realistic=20 things that we want,' he said. 'But what we want is = beyond=20 possibility right now.'

A group of conservatives is preparing to take = control of=20 Iran's elected government after a flawed election = criticised=20 by Iranian liberals as well as the international=20 community.

Meanwhile, a deep malaise has set in among many of = Iran's=20 67 million people.

Liberal reformists took control of Iran's = presidency,=20 parliament and ministries over the past seven years on = a wave=20 of popular resentment against laws that force women to = cover=20 their heads and judges who jail dissidents on heresy=20 charges.

President Mohammad Khatami, the smiling, = multilingual=20 cleric who talked of democracy and dialogue with the = world,=20 was their standard bearer.

But unable to push economic and social changes = through a=20 political system dominated by unelected clerics, = unwilling to=20 risk the collapse of the Islamic republic by calling = for=20 revolt and still committed to the revolutionary = leader, the=20 late Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, and his ideology of=20 theocratic rule, the reformists gradually lost their=20 supporters.

Many Iranians have simply turned away from=20 politics.

Conversely, the conservative clerics, firmly in = control of=20 the economy, intelligence services, judiciary and = broadcast=20 media, have grown more and more = confident.

In the wake of the Feb 11 celebrations marking the = 25th=20 anniversary of the revolution and the flawed election=20 condemned as a sham by many, they continue to label = their=20 opponents as secular agents of the United States and = its=20 'evil' designs.

On the streets, however, even the conservatives = have grown=20 lacklustre in their support for a system common people = criticise for increasing income disparities and gross=20 mismanagement.

At a tepid gathering of reformist students at Amir = Kabir=20 University recently, a pair of bearded conservative = militants,=20 typical of the groups which have bashed in the heads = of=20 students during such events, showed up but left=20 quickly.

'Let's go,' one said to his friend. 'There's = nothing going=20 on here.'

Economic development remains high on Iranians' list = of=20 complaints. Despite holding 7 per cent of the world's = oil=20 reserves and a natural gas reservoir second only to = Russia,=20 about a third of Iranians live below the poverty=20 line.

Inflation, at about 12 per cent a year, is slowly=20 impoverishing retirees and those in the public sector. = Independent analysts estimate unemployment at about 20 = per=20 cent.

Two-thirds of Iran's 69 million people are under 30 = years=20 of age, a discontented, over-educated mass of youth = for whom=20 officials are unable to provide jobs.

Though private sector wages have edged up and the = economy=20 has grown substantially over the past two years - a = time of=20 high oil prices - individual Iranians' purchasing = power=20 continues to slide.

Mr Hassan Fallahi, a southern Teheran manual = labourer and=20 father of five, says times have got tougher and=20 tougher.

A kilo of meat that cost US$2 (S$3.40) last year = costs US$3=20 this year, he said. 'Foodstuff has got more expensive, = clothes=20 have got expensive. But your salary stays the same,' = he=20 said.

Educated Iranian professionals fare little=20 better.

According to the International Monetary Fund, Iran = is the=20 world's largest victim of brain drain, with 150,000 to = 180,000=20 of the country's best-educated emigrating to escape = the=20 country's economic problems and social repression.=20

To fix the problems, Iran's clerical regime has = adopted the=20 mantras of privatisation and globalisation, attempting = to lure=20 foreign investment and shrink the public=20 sector.

But Mr Fariborz Raissdana, a British-trained = economist=20 living in Iran, says the application of both = catchwords often=20 amounts to more misery for the people.

'Privatisation here means selling a company to one = of the=20 government's supporters and then firing all the = workers,' he=20 said.

And globalisation - integrating economically with = the wider=20 world - means patching up relations with the US, which = enforces a strict embargo on a country it accuses of=20 supporting terrorism and pursuing programmes for = weapons of=20 mass destruction.

Despite Iran's show of reform, powerful reactionary = forces=20 continue to amass power.

Just as Iran tried to polish its international = image this=20 month with the arrival of foreign journalists for = celebrations=20 of the revolution's 25th anniversary, the conservative = Martyrs' Foundation decided it was a good time to = reaffirm its=20 vow to reward the killer of Indian-born British writer = Salman=20 Rushdie with millions.

'For those who misuse freedom, it is not enough to = answer=20 with writing or talking,' the foundation said in a=20 statement.

'Islamic law should be implemented like an arrow = that will=20 at last strike this sacrilegious man.' =

The continued ideologically charged management of = the=20 country has resulted in spiralling urban=20 problems.

According to official statistics, 1,500 new cars = enter=20 Teheran every day, while only five are retired. The = resulting=20 traffic problem has turned the capital into one of the = world's=20 most congested cities.

Completion of a subway system meant to alleviate = the=20 traffic problem has come to a halt after the project = ran out=20 of funds.

The huge reliance on motor vehicle transportation = means=20 Iran actually imports petrol to fuel its car-driven=20 economy.

In a baffling move, the nation's car manufacturers = recently=20 lowered the prices of new cars, a move certain to = contribute=20 to traffic snarls.

The traffic contributes to eye-burning air = pollution and=20 high asthma rates in Teheran, as well as in urban = centres such=20 as Mashhad, Tabriz and Isfahan.

On weekends and holidays, frustrated Iranians flee = big=20 cities in droves, causing deadly traffic accidents on = clogged=20 roads leading out.

Mr Bashir, a 26-year-old member of the Basiji = militia -=20 among the regime's staunchest loyalists - admits that = he used=20 to spend his weekends on mountain trails harassing = women with=20 hair peeking of their scarves and young men playing = pop music=20 on cassette players, attempting to enforce the = clerical=20 rulers' strict Islamic social codes.

A portrait of Khomeini overlooks Mr Bashir's=20 bedroom.

Though he still remains faithful to the Islamic = republic=20 and swears allegiance to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali=20 Khamenei, he is no longer willing to act as the = regime's=20 enforcer.

'I grew up,' said Mr Bashir, an overworked window = frame=20 maker who now dreams of immigrating to the US where = his uncle=20 lives.

'I realised that this poor guy with his stereo and = cassette=20 is working 80 hours a week,' he said. 'I couldn't = bring myself=20 to make his life more difficult.'

A portrait of Mohammad Mossadeq, the democratically = elected=20 Iranian nationalist leader overthrown in a 1953 = US-organised=20 coup d'etat, overlooks the living room of Mr Bahram = and Mr=20 Ali's ramshackle apartment.

The past few years, they say, have taught them to = be wary=20 of anyone calling himself a reformist. Neither voted = in last=20 week's election.

'We won't be fooled a third time,' said Mr=20 Bahram.

  • The writer is an Iranian-American journalist = based in=20 Teheran


    • Archived Stories
    Feb = 25
    <= /TD> Clerics=20 with no clothes
    <= /TD> Iran's=20 hardliners may not get their own=20 = way
     

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